Selected outcome
At least 56%
wide spread 85–96%
At least 56%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of the Secretary of State, Santa Fe, NM (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 52%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢
- At least 54%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 56%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 58%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 72–83%
Bid 72¢ · Ask 83¢
- At least 60%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$181 vol
wide spread 53–64%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢
- At least 62%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$120 vol
wide spread 32–43%
Bid 32¢ · Ask 43¢
- At least 64%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$131 vol
wide spread 15–26%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 26¢
- At least 66%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 12¢
- At least 68%
Will Ben Ray Luján receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ben Ray Luján in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.