Selected outcome
At least 40%
37%
At least 40% · 37%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Office of the Secretary of State, Santa Fe, NM (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 32%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 32% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 91¢
- At least 34%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 34% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
wide spread 85–96%
Bid 85¢ · Ask 96¢
- At least 36%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 36% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
77%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 72¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least 38%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 38% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
55%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$228 vol
wide spread 53–64%
Bid 53¢ · Ask 64¢
- At least 40%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
37%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$122 vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 42¢
- At least 42%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
19%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 24¢
- At least 44%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 13¢
- At least 46%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
last
Ask 8¢
- At least 48%
Will Larry Marker receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Larry Marker in the 2026 New Mexico Senate election is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.