Selected outcome
At least 60%
wide spread 48–59%
At least 60%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
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Markets
- At least 56%
Will Jeff Merkley receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 82–93%
Bid 82¢ · Ask 93¢
- At least 58%
Will Jeff Merkley receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 67–78%
Bid 67¢ · Ask 78¢
- At least 60%
Will Jeff Merkley receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 48–59%
Bid 48¢ · Ask 59¢
- At least 62%
Will Jeff Merkley receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 27–38%
Bid 27¢ · Ask 38¢
- At least 64%
Will Jeff Merkley receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 10–21%
Bid 10¢ · Ask 21¢
- At least 66%
Will Jeff Merkley receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Senate election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
- At least 68%
Will Jeff Merkley receive at least 68% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 7¢
- At least 70%
Will Jeff Merkley receive at least 70% of the popular vote in the 2026 Oregon Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Jeff Merkley in the 2026 Oregon Senate election is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.