Selected outcome
At least 42%
last
94%
At least 42% · 94%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- At least 47%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 47% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 57–69%
Bid 57¢ · Ask 69¢
- At least 49%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 49% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
36%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13 vol
Bid 31¢ · Ask 40¢
- At least 42%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 42% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$297 vol
last
Bid 93¢
- At least 44%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 44% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
wide spread 87–99%
Bid 87¢ · Ask 99¢
- At least 46%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 46% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$207 vol
wide spread 70–82%
Bid 70¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least 48%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 48% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$488 vol
wide spread 42–54%
Bid 42¢ · Ask 54¢
- At least 50%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
25%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$542 vol
wide spread 15–27%
Bid 15¢ · Ask 27¢
- At least 52%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$337 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 10¢
- At least 54%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$36 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- At least 56%
Will Ken Paxton receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Texas Senate election?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2 vol
last
Ask 6¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ken Paxton in the 2026 Texas Senate election is 42% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.