Selected outcome
At least 56%
wide spread 71–82%
At least 56%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- State Board of Elections, Richmond, VA (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- At least 52%
Will Mark Warner receive at least 52% of the popular vote in the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 90¢
- At least 54%
Will Mark Warner receive at least 54% of the popular vote in the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 83–94%
Bid 83¢ · Ask 94¢
- At least 56%
Will Mark Warner receive at least 56% of the popular vote in the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 71–82%
Bid 71¢ · Ask 82¢
- At least 58%
Will Mark Warner receive at least 58% of the popular vote in the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 55–66%
Bid 55¢ · Ask 66¢
- At least 60%
Will Mark Warner receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 38–49%
Bid 38¢ · Ask 49¢
- At least 62%
Will Mark Warner receive at least 62% of the popular vote in the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$52 vol
wide spread 23–34%
Bid 23¢ · Ask 34¢
- At least 64%
Will Mark Warner receive at least 64% of the popular vote in the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$30 vol
wide spread 13–24%
Bid 13¢ · Ask 24¢
- At least 66%
Will Mark Warner receive at least 66% of the popular vote in the 2026 Virginia Senate election?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 11¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Mark Warner in the 2026 Virginia Senate election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.