Selected outcome
9
4%
9 · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- U.S. Senate (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- 1
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 1 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
34%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$538 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 37¢
- 2
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 2 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$554 vol
Bid 17¢ · Ask 24¢
- 3
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 3 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
18%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 22¢
- 4
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 4 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 5.1¢ · Ask 10¢
- 5
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 5 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 8.5¢
- 6
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 6 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 8.5¢
- 7
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 7 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 8.5¢
- 8
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 8 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 8.5¢
- 9
Will J.D. Vance cast exactly 9 tie-breaking vote in the Senate in 2026?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 0.4¢ · Ask 8.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Vice President breaks exactly 9 ties in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.