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Will Wales announce an independence referendum?

Open

Before 2030

Selected outcome

Yes

27%

Yes · 27%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2029 ET
Resolution source
Welsh Government (opens in a new tab)

Price

Yes

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Markets

  • Yes

    Will Wales announce an independence referendum before 2030?

    27%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$201 vol

    Bid 23¢ · Ask 31¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$201
Liquidity
—
Open int.
7 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2029 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If Wales agrees to or announces a formal decision by the UK Government, UK Parliament, or a legally authorized Welsh authority to hold a referendum on Welsh independence after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

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