When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Open

AGI

Selected outcome

Before 2030

63%

Before 2030 · 63%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source: OpenAI (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Before 2030
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI?
63%
Open · ~$49 24h · ~$134k vol
Bid 61.3¢ · Ask 64.3¢
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Before 2028
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI?
47%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$145k vol
Bid 44.6¢ · Ask 49¢
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Before 2027
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI?
4%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$17k vol
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 3.9¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$63
Volume: ~$296k
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 395k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2026 ET
Resolution source: OpenAI (opens in a new tab)

Trading
Closed
In review
Resolved

Rules text

If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Tech