Starship launches humans to Mars before 2030?

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Before 2030

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Before 2030

16%

Before 2030 · 16%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2029 ET
Resolution source: SpaceX (opens in a new tab)

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Before 2030

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Markets

Before 2030
Manned Starship mission to Mars before 2030?
16%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$9,293 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
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Event statistics

24h vol: ~$6
Volume: ~$9,293
Liquidity: —
Open int.: 9,988 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end: Dec 31, 2029 ET
Resolution source: SpaceX (opens in a new tab)

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Rules text

If SpaceX launches a manned Starship mission to Mars by Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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