← Polymarket

Fed Decision in December?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

25 bps increase

79%

25 bps increase · 79%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 9, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 50+ bps decrease

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

    <1%

    Open · $36k 24h · $753k vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • 25 bps decrease

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

    1%

    Open · $21k 24h · $962k vol

    Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 0.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • No change

    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

    19%

    Open · $9,370 24h · $956k vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
  • 25 bps increase

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?

    79%

    Open · $5,993 24h · $948k vol

    Bid 78¢ · Ask 79¢

    Open full market view →
  • 50+ bps increase

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?

    2%

    Open · $4,926 24h · $575k vol

    Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 2.3¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$77k
Volume
$4.2M
Liquidity
$927k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 9, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

View on Polymarket