Selected outcome
50+ bps increase
2%
50+ bps increase · 2%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 9, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
50+ bps decreaseWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $36k 24h · $753k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
25 bps decreaseWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
1%
Open · $21k 24h · $962k vol
Bid 0.6¢ · Ask 0.7¢
No changeWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?
19%
Open · $9,370 24h · $956k vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢
25 bps increaseWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
79%
Open · $5,993 24h · $948k vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 79¢
50+ bps increaseWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?
2%
Open · $4,926 24h · $575k vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 2.3¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 9, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's December 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for December 8-9, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their December meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.