Selected outcome
25 bps increase
14%
25 bps increase · 14%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 28, 11:59 PM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
50+ bps decreaseWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $123k 24h · $9.1M vol
last
Ask 0.1¢
25 bps decreaseWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $371k 24h · $8.9M vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
No changeWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
87%
Open · $639k 24h · $15M vol
Bid 86¢ · Ask 87¢
25 bps increaseWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?
14%
Open · $474k 24h · $12M vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
50+ bps increaseWill the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $214k 24h · $7.2M vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 28, 11:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.