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Fed Decision in October?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

50+ bps increase

<1%

50+ bps increase · <1%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 28, 11:59 PM ET

Price

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Markets

  • 50+ bps decrease

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    <1%

    Open · $123k 24h · $9.1M vol

    last

    Ask 0.1¢

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  • 25 bps decrease

    Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    <1%

    Open · $371k 24h · $8.9M vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢

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  • No change

    Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?

    87%

    Open · $639k 24h · $15M vol

    Bid 86¢ · Ask 87¢

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  • 25 bps increase

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    14%

    Open · $474k 24h · $12M vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢

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  • 50+ bps increase

    Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

    <1%

    Open · $214k 24h · $7.2M vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$1.8M
Volume
$52M
Liquidity
$5.8M
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 28, 11:59 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's October 2026 meeting. If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for October 27-28, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm. The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their October meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.

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