Selected outcome
July 2027 Meeting
wide spread 20–79%
21%
July 2027 Meeting · 21%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 28, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
January 2027 MeetingFed rate cut by January 2027 meeting?
5%
Open · $3,427 24h · $7,626 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 5.9¢
- July 2027 Meeting
Fed rate cut by July 2027 meeting?
21%
Open · $12 24h · $127 vol
wide spread 20–79%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 79¢
- April 2027 Meeting
Fed rate cut by April 2027 meeting?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $50 vol
wide spread 20–38%
Bid 20¢ · Ask 38¢
- June 2027 Meeting
Fed rate cut by June 2027 meeting?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $27 vol
wide spread 7–49%
Bid 7¢ · Ask 49¢
- October 2026 Meeting
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?
<1%
Open · $80 24h · $234k vol
Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 0.4¢
- December 2026 Meeting
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?
3%
Open · $934 24h · $420k vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 2.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 28, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for July 2027, currently scheduled for July 27 to 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no July meeting takes place by August 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.