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Fed rate cut by...?

Open

Selected outcome

April 2027 Meeting

wide spread 20–38%

April 2027 Meeting

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 28, 2027 ET

Price

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
$4,453
Volume
$3.8M
Liquidity
$200k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 28, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is decreased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting for April 2027, currently scheduled for April 27 to 28. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no April meeting takes place by May 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No". Emergency rate cuts will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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