← Polymarket

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in October?

Open

Selected outcome

5.35%

11%

5.35% · 11%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 5.32%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $5,185 vol

    wide spread 8–19%

    Bid 8.2¢ · Ask 18.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.35%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?

    11%

    Open · $32 24h · $3,919 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.38%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?

    11%

    Open · $130 24h · $4,477 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.41%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?

    8%

    Open · $38 24h · $5,479 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.45%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?

    6%

    Open · $146 24h · $2,696 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.50%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,671 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.55%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October?

    3%

    Open · $50 24h · $1,915 vol

    Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 4.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • 5.60%

    Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?

    2%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,049 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.5¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$396
Volume
$33k
Liquidity
$2,089
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).

View on Polymarket