Selected outcome
5.50%
4%
5.50% · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
5.32%Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $5,185 vol
wide spread 8–19%
Bid 8.2¢ · Ask 18.8¢
- 5.35%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?
11%
Open · $32 24h · $3,919 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 14¢
- 5.38%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?
11%
Open · $130 24h · $4,477 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 14¢
- 5.41%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?
8%
Open · $38 24h · $5,479 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 9¢
- 5.45%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?
6%
Open · $146 24h · $2,696 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 8¢
- 5.50%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $3,671 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 4.2¢
- 5.55%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.55% in October?
3%
Open · $50 24h · $1,915 vol
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 4.1¢
- 5.60%
Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?
2%
Open · $0 24h · $5,049 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 3.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between October 2, 2026 and October 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value, or once data is available for the last business day of October 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for the last business day of October 2026 by November 13, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specifically the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).