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How many 5.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

≤6

10%

≤6 · 10%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
earthquake.usgs.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • ≤6

    Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    10%

    Open · $211 24h · $1,135 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • 7

    Will there be 7 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    11%

    Open · $130 24h · $482 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 13¢

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  • 8

    Will there be 8 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    14%

    Open · $242 24h · $530 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 16¢

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  • 9

    Will there be 9 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    16%

    Open · $94 24h · $321 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 17¢

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  • 10

    Will there be 10 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    15%

    Open · $160 24h · $362 vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢

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  • 11

    Will there be 11 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    12%

    Open · $114 24h · $301 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 14¢

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  • 12

    Will there be 12 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    7%

    Open · $50 24h · $330 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢

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  • 13

    Will there be 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    6%

    Open · $42 24h · $202 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 8¢

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  • more than 13

    Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    12%

    Open · $274 24h · $1,943 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 15¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$1,318
Volume
$5,606
Liquidity
$8,187
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 5.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 5.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data. If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

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