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How many 6.5 or above earthquakes worldwide October 19 - October 25?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

0

55%

0 · 55%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET
Resolution source
earthquake.usgs.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • 0

    Will there be 0 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    55%

    Open · $488 24h · $3,407 vol

    Bid 54¢ · Ask 56¢

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  • 1

    Will there be 1 earthquake of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    30%

    Open · $228 24h · $1,043 vol

    Bid 28¢ · Ask 32¢

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  • 2

    Will there be 2 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    6%

    Open · $67 24h · $893 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 8¢

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  • 3

    Will there be 3 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    4%

    Open · $23 24h · $320 vol

    Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 4.7¢

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  • 4

    Will there be 4 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    3%

    Open · $5 24h · $180 vol

    Bid 0.3¢ · Ask 5¢

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  • 5

    Will there be 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    <1%

    Open · $5 24h · $270 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.8¢

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  • more than 5

    Will there be more than 5 earthquakes of 6.5 or above magnitude worldwide?

    1%

    Open · $28 24h · $272 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 0.9¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$844
Volume
$6,385
Liquidity
$7,585
Open int.
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How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 25, 11:59 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between October 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until 48 hours after the market's closing time, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that time, another credible resolution source will be used. This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data. If no earthquake data for this market's timeframe has been published on the resolution source by 48 hours after the market's closing time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

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