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IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?

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Selected outcome

December 31

15%

December 31 · 15%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • December 31

    IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?

    15%

    Open · $44k 24h · $106k vol

    Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 31

    IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by October 31?

    2%

    Open · $2,164 24h · $102k vol

    Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 1.9¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$47k
Volume
$462k
Liquidity
$44k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility. IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General. A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify. The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.

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