Selected outcome
6°C
6°C
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
5°C or belowWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?
66%
Open · $602 24h · $2,637 vol
wide spread 43–80%
Bid 43¢ · Ask 80¢
6°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 6°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $100 vol
Ask 36¢
7°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $100 vol
Ask 19¢
8°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 8°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $141 vol
Ask 42¢
9°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on October 21?
5%
Open · $0 24h · $64 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢
10°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 49¢
11°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $287 24h · $287 vol
wide spread 12–56%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 56¢
12°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 21?
1%
Open · $108 24h · $108 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢
13°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $114 24h · $114 vol
wide spread <1–20%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 19.9¢
14°CWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 21?
No quote
Open · $108 24h · $108 vol
wide spread <1–23%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 23¢
15°C or higherWill the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or higher on October 21?
2%
Open · $1,079 24h · $1,114 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 3.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.