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Lowest temperature in Istanbul on October 21?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

8°C

8°C

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET

Price

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Markets

  • 5°C or below

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 5°C or below on October 21?

    66%

    Open · $602 24h · $2,637 vol

    wide spread 43–80%

    Bid 43¢ · Ask 80¢

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  • 6°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 6°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $100 vol

    Ask 36¢

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  • 7°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 7°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $100 vol

    Ask 19¢

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  • 8°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 8°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $141 vol

    Ask 42¢

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  • 9°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 9°C on October 21?

    5%

    Open · $0 24h · $64 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 9.9¢

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  • 10°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 10°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 49¢

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  • 11°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $287 24h · $287 vol

    wide spread 12–56%

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 56¢

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  • 12°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 12°C on October 21?

    1%

    Open · $108 24h · $108 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 1¢

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  • 13°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 13°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $114 24h · $114 vol

    wide spread <1–20%

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 19.9¢

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  • 14°C

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 14°C on October 21?

    No quote

    Open · $108 24h · $108 vol

    wide spread <1–23%

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 23¢

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  • 15°C or higher

    Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or higher on October 21?

    2%

    Open · $1,079 24h · $1,114 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 3.2¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
$2,298
Volume
$4,773
Liquidity
$964
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 21 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

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