← Polymarket

Lowest temperature in Miami on October 22?

Openone winner

Selected outcome

74-75°F

wide spread 1–15%

74-75°F

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
Resolution source
weather.gov (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • 63°F or below

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 34¢

    Open full market view →
  • 64-65°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 41¢

    Open full market view →
  • 66-67°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 29¢

    Open full market view →
  • 68-69°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 3–15%

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • 70-71°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    wide spread 36–67%

    Bid 36¢ · Ask 67¢

    Open full market view →
  • 72-73°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 22?

    41%

    Open · $73 24h · $171 vol

    wide spread 28–49%

    Bid 28¢ · Ask 49¢

    Open full market view →
  • 74-75°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $12 vol

    wide spread 1–15%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • 76-77°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 38¢

    Open full market view →
  • 78-79°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Ask 39¢

    Open full market view →
  • 80-81°F

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 22?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $0 vol

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • 82°F or higher

    Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 82°F or higher on October 22?

    No quote

    Open · $21 24h · $21 vol

    wide spread <1–14%

    Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 13.8¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$94
Volume
$204
Liquidity
$10k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

View on Polymarket