Selected outcome
78-79°F
78-79°F
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- weather.gov (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
63°F or belowWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 63°F or below on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 34¢
64-65°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 64-65°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 41¢
66-67°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 66-67°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 29¢
68-69°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 68-69°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 3–15%
Bid 3¢ · Ask 15¢
70-71°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 70-71°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
wide spread 36–67%
Bid 36¢ · Ask 67¢
72-73°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 72-73°F on October 22?
41%
Open · $73 24h · $171 vol
wide spread 28–49%
Bid 28¢ · Ask 49¢
74-75°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $12 vol
wide spread 1–15%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 15¢
76-77°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 38¢
78-79°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on October 22?
No quote
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Ask 39¢
80-81°FWill the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on October 22?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $0 vol
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 8¢
82°F or higherWill the lowest temperature in Miami be 82°F or higher on October 22?
No quote
Open · $21 24h · $21 vol
wide spread <1–14%
Bid 0.1¢ · Ask 13.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Oct 22, 8:00 AM ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Oct '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. In the case that the Resolution Source publishes data, sufficient to settle a Market, that is clearly erroneous and the result of technical or operational error, or of unauthorized interference with the Resolution Source or its data, the Market may remain open for a period of up to seven (7) calendar days (ET) from the time of the original release, in anticipation of a correction by the Resolution Source. If the Resolution Source publishes a corrected value within that period, that value will be eligible for resolution. If no corrected value is published within that period, Polymarket will issue a Clarification to determine whether the originally published value may be eligible for resolution, or whether other action is required to preserve the orderly functioning of the Market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.