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Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?

Open

Selected outcome

October 15

No

October 15 · No

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

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Markets

  • October 31

    Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?

    4%

    Open · $25 24h · $267k vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 4.2¢

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  • December 31

    Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?

    21%

    Open · $515 24h · $234k vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 22¢

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  • November 30

    Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?

    11%

    Open · $465 24h · $27k vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 12¢

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Resolved

Event statistics
24h vol
$1,005
Volume
$613k
Liquidity
$56k
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Perim Island is no longer under Houthi control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". “The Houthis” refers to the Houthi movement (Ansar Allah), including its governing institutions and any armed force operating under its direction or on its behalf. “Perim Island” refers to Perim (Mayyun) Island in the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, Yemen. “No longer under the control of the Houthis” means that the Houthis no longer exercise primary military control over Perim Island, and another state, occupying force, the internationally recognized government of Yemen, or an internationally backed authority has established control over the island. Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Houthi activity will not qualify on their own. An announcement, threat, or claim that the Houthis have lost control will not qualify without actual control being established. If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island. If control over Perim Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.

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