← Polymarket

Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?

Open

Selected outcome

October 31

7%

October 31 · 7%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • October 31

    Screwworm National Emergency declared by October 31?

    7%

    Open · $0 24h · $4,325 vol

    Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 7.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • December 31

    Screwworm National Emergency declared by December 31?

    No quote

    Open · $0 24h · $4,954 vol

    wide spread 15–58%

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 58¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$0
Volume
$11k
Liquidity
$3,628
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if either the United States federal government formally declares a national emergency, an extraordinary emergency, or uses another emergency authority to declare a national crisis in response to a screwworm (Cochliomyia hominivorax) outbreak in U.S. livestock by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements, speeches, social media posts, draft orders, executive orders that do not formally declare an emergency will not qualify. Renewals or extensions of previously existing national emergencies will not qualify unless the text is materially modified to explicitly relate to screwworm. The primary resolution source will be the Federal Register and official publications of the White House, Department of Agriculture, Secretary of Agriculture, or other federal departments or agencies, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

View on Polymarket