← Polymarket

Which artists will have a Billboard #1 song this year?

Open

Selected outcome

Doja Cat

wide spread 3–43%

10%

Doja Cat · 10%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 30, 2026 ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • A$AP Rocky

    Will A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    12%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,562 vol

    wide spread 12–26%

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 25.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Billie Eilish

    Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $42k vol

    Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 4.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Doja Cat

    Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $12k vol

    wide spread 3–43%

    Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 43.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Ed Sheeran

    Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $865 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Future

    Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    No quote

    Open · $9 24h · $7,121 vol

    wide spread 3–22%

    Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 21.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Jack Harlow

    Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    8%

    Open · $324 24h · $10k vol

    Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 10.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • Kendrick Lamar

    Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    22%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,910 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢

    Open full market view →
  • Lil Baby

    Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    7%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,672 vol

    Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 8.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • Luke Combs

    Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    13%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,375 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
  • Morgan Wallen

    Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    25%

    Open · $0 24h · $585 vol

    Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢

    Open full market view →
  • Peso Pluma

    Will Peso Pluma have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    6%

    Open · $0 24h · $444 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 7.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Playboi Carti

    Will Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    4%

    Open · $0 24h · $9,693 vol

    Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 5.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Post Malone

    Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    23%

    Open · $20 24h · $2,329 vol

    wide spread 8–29%

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 29¢

    Open full market view →
  • Rihanna

    Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    9%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,213 vol

    Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 11.1¢

    Open full market view →
  • Sabrina Carpenter

    Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    19%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,932 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢

    Open full market view →
  • SZA

    Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    13%

    Open · $69 24h · $1,397 vol

    wide spread 11–40%

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 40¢

    Open full market view →
  • The Weeknd

    Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    14%

    Open · $0 24h · $6,191 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • Travis Scott

    Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    21%

    Open · $65 24h · $5,902 vol

    Bid 20¢ · Ask 22¢

    Open full market view →
  • Tyler, The Creator

    Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    9%

    Open · $0 24h · $1,047 vol

    Bid 7¢ · Ask 11¢

    Open full market view →
  • Zach Bryan

    Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    14%

    Open · $43 24h · $1,662 vol

    wide spread 2–20%

    Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 19.6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Kanye West

    Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    3%

    Open · $0 24h · $866 vol

    Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Frank Ocean

    Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    10%

    Open · $0 24h · $9,555 vol

    Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 11.4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Mariah Carey

    Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?

    97%

    Open · $0 24h · $6,241 vol

    Bid 94.3¢ · Ask 99.2¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
$530
Volume
$187k
Liquidity
$8,396
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 30, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.

View on Polymarket