Selected outcome
Jack Harlow
8%
Jack Harlow · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
A$AP RockyWill A$AP Rocky have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
12%
Open · $0 24h · $2,562 vol
wide spread 12–26%
Bid 12¢ · Ask 25.9¢
- Billie Eilish
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $42k vol
Bid 0.8¢ · Ask 4.6¢
- Doja Cat
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
10%
Open · $0 24h · $12k vol
wide spread 3–43%
Bid 2.7¢ · Ask 43.4¢
- Ed Sheeran
Will Ed Sheeran have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $865 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.7¢
- Future
Will Future have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
No quote
Open · $9 24h · $7,121 vol
wide spread 3–22%
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 21.8¢
- Jack Harlow
Will Jack Harlow have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
8%
Open · $324 24h · $10k vol
Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 10.2¢
- Kendrick Lamar
Will Kendrick Lamar have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
22%
Open · $0 24h · $5,910 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 22¢
- Lil Baby
Will Lil Baby have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
7%
Open · $0 24h · $1,672 vol
Bid 5.8¢ · Ask 8.8¢
- Luke Combs
Will Luke Combs have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
13%
Open · $0 24h · $3,375 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢
- Morgan Wallen
Will Morgan Wallen have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
25%
Open · $0 24h · $585 vol
Bid 24¢ · Ask 25¢
- Peso Pluma
Will Peso Pluma have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
6%
Open · $0 24h · $444 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7.9¢
- Playboi Carti
Will Playboi Carti have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
4%
Open · $0 24h · $9,693 vol
Bid 1.5¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- Post Malone
Will Post Malone have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
23%
Open · $20 24h · $2,329 vol
wide spread 8–29%
Bid 8¢ · Ask 29¢
- Rihanna
Will Rihanna have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $2,213 vol
Bid 6.8¢ · Ask 11.1¢
- Sabrina Carpenter
Will Sabrina Carpenter have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
19%
Open · $0 24h · $2,932 vol
Bid 18¢ · Ask 20¢
- SZA
Will SZA have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
13%
Open · $69 24h · $1,397 vol
wide spread 11–40%
Bid 11¢ · Ask 40¢
- The Weeknd
Will The Weeknd have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
14%
Open · $0 24h · $6,191 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 16¢
- Travis Scott
Will Travis Scott have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
21%
Open · $65 24h · $5,902 vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 22¢
- Tyler, The Creator
Will Tyler, The Creator have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
9%
Open · $0 24h · $1,047 vol
Bid 7¢ · Ask 11¢
- Zach Bryan
Will Zach Bryan have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
14%
Open · $43 24h · $1,662 vol
wide spread 2–20%
Bid 1.7¢ · Ask 19.6¢
- Kanye West
Will Kanye West have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
3%
Open · $0 24h · $866 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Frank Ocean
Will Frank Ocean have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
10%
Open · $0 24h · $9,555 vol
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 11.4¢
- Mariah Carey
Will Mariah Carey have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?
97%
Open · $0 24h · $6,241 vol
Bid 94.3¢ · Ask 99.2¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 30, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any song by the listed artist is the number 1 song in any official weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs chart released for a data collection reference period entirely between January 1 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any song released with the listed artist as a primary artist will count, including songs released before 2026. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. Features, writing credits, production credits, or other forms of non-primary contributions to a song will not count. Artist attribution will be determined solely by the artists displayed by Billboard on the relevant chart. Billboard updates its Hot 100 songs chart each Tuesday (with adjusted release schedules on some holiday weeks), reflecting data collected in the previous week (Friday-Thursday). Each Billboard chart is then titled “Week of (date of the upcoming Saturday)”. The first Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the chart titled “Week of January 17, 2026” for a data collection reference period of January 2-8, 2026. The final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will be the Chart titled “Week of January 9, 2027” for a data collection reference period of December 25-31, 2026. Updates or revisions made within this market’s timeframe to the #1-ranked song on previously published Billboard Hot 100 charts will be considered; however, such updates will not disqualify a previously published Billboard Hot 100 #1 song from counting. If a Billboard Hot 100 #1 song is revised after initial publication, both the originally published #1 song and the revised #1 song will count for this market. Updates or revisions made after the release of the final Billboard Hot 100 song chart relevant to this market will not be considered. The resolution source for this market will be the weekly Billboard Hot 100 songs charts published each week at https://www.billboard.com/charts/hot-100/ and through other official Billboard channels.