Selected outcome
October 31, 2026
3%
October 31, 2026 · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
Price
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Markets
October 31, 2026Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026?
3%
Open · $5 24h · $174k vol
Bid 1.8¢ · Ask 3.3¢
December 31, 2026Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?
25%
Open · $0 24h · $85k vol
Bid 20¢ · Ask 29¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.