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Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

Open

Selected outcome

December 31, 2026

25%

December 31, 2026 · 25%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
$5
Volume
$485k
Liquidity
$3,275
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 31, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI publicly announces and launches a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A "consumer hardware product" is defined as a physical device intended for direct use by individual consumers, rather than enterprise or developer tools. The product must be newly introduced and not a rebrand, update, or iteration of any previously released device. Examples that would qualify include an AI-powered wearable, smart home assistant, or augmented reality device. Developer tools, AI chips, or servers marketed exclusively for enterprise use would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from OpenAI.

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