Selected outcome
October 13
Yes
October 13 · Yes
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 11:59 PM ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
October 21Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 21, 2026?
99%
Open · $255 24h · $1,293 vol
last
Bid 99¢
October 22Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 22, 2026?
97%
Open · $77 24h · $983 vol
Bid 95.1¢ · Ask 99¢
October 23Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 23, 2026?
97%
Open · $8 24h · $1,835 vol
Bid 95.9¢ · Ask 99¢
October 24Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 24, 2026?
97%
Open · $0 24h · $5,053 vol
Bid 95.2¢ · Ask 98.5¢
October 25Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?
97%
Open · $0 24h · $3,325 vol
Bid 95.3¢ · Ask 98.5¢
October 26Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?
95%
Open · $0 24h · $7,295 vol
Bid 92.9¢ · Ask 96.2¢
October 27Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026?
96%
Open · $0 24h · $2,206 vol
Bid 93.1¢ · Ask 99.8¢
October 28Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 28, 2026?
95%
Open · $0 24h · $934 vol
Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 97.9¢
October 29Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 29, 2026?
97%
Open · $0 24h · $760 vol
Bid 95.1¢ · Ask 98¢
October 30Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026?
95%
Open · $0 24h · $594 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 97.8¢
October 31Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026?
92%
Open · $0 24h · $2,666 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 93¢
Resolved
October 3Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 3, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,182 vol
October 7Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 7, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $985 vol
October 8Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 8, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $910 vol
October 9Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 9, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,466 vol
October 10Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 10, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,896 vol
October 11Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 11, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,387 vol
October 12Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 12, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,567 vol
October 13Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 13, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $1,627 vol
October 14Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 14, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,372 vol
October 15Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 15, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $1,590 vol
October 16Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 16, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $2,133 vol
October 17Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 17, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $1,302 vol
October 18Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 18, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $4,297 vol
October 19Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 19, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $0 24h · $1,265 vol
October 20Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 20, 2026?
Yes
Settled · yes · $185 24h · $1,031 vol
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 21, 11:59 PM ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.