← Polymarket

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Open

Selected outcome

October 17

Yes

October 17 · Yes

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 11:59 PM ET

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • October 21

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 21, 2026?

    99%

    Open · $255 24h · $1,293 vol

    last

    Bid 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 22

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 22, 2026?

    97%

    Open · $77 24h · $983 vol

    Bid 95.1¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 23

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 23, 2026?

    97%

    Open · $8 24h · $1,835 vol

    Bid 95.9¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 24

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 24, 2026?

    97%

    Open · $0 24h · $5,053 vol

    Bid 95.2¢ · Ask 98.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 25

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 25, 2026?

    97%

    Open · $0 24h · $3,325 vol

    Bid 95.3¢ · Ask 98.5¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 26

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 26, 2026?

    95%

    Open · $0 24h · $7,295 vol

    Bid 92.9¢ · Ask 96.2¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 27

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026?

    96%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,206 vol

    Bid 93.1¢ · Ask 99.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 28

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 28, 2026?

    95%

    Open · $0 24h · $934 vol

    Bid 92.1¢ · Ask 97.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 29

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 29, 2026?

    97%

    Open · $0 24h · $760 vol

    Bid 95.1¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 30

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026?

    95%

    Open · $0 24h · $594 vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 97.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • October 31

    Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 31, 2026?

    92%

    Open · $0 24h · $2,666 vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 93¢

    Open full market view →

Resolved

Event statistics
24h vol
$525
Volume
$63k
Liquidity
$8,167
Open int.
—

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 21, 11:59 PM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes a public statement in which he insults any non-fictional individual on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available on the specified date (ET). Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

View on Polymarket