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Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

Openone winner

Dec 31, 2029 at 10:00 AM ET

Selected outcome

United Arab Emirates

4%

United Arab Emirates · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2029 ET
Resolution source
Artificial Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • United Arab Emirates

    Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

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  • China

    Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

    26%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 30¢

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  • France

    Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢

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  • South Korea

    Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

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  • United States

    Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?

    61%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol

    Bid 57¢ · Ask 65¢

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Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$344
Liquidity
—
Open int.
1,025 contracts

How this resolves

One winner.

Scheduled end
Dec 31, 2029 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If an AI lab based in the United Arab Emirates has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

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