Selected outcome
China
26%
China · 26%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- Artificial Analysis (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- United Arab Emirates
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$8 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- China
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
26%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$108 vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 30¢
- France
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$12 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 8¢
- South Korea
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- United States
Which country will have the best LLM at the end of the decade?
61%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$211 vol
Bid 57¢ · Ask 65¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2029 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If an AI lab based in China has the highest-ranked AI model on the applicable index at 10:00 AM ET on Dec 31, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.