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Which bills will become law in 2026?

Open

Before Jan 1, 2027

Selected outcome

Export-control chip security

33%

Export-control chip security · 33%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Library of Congress (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Export-control chip security

    Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    33%

    Open · ~$23 24h · ~$5,363 vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty

    Will legislation that changes the official name of Fort Bragg, North Carolina, to Fort Liberty become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    7%

    Open · ~$19 24h · ~$624 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Data center utility cost protection

    Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    13%

    Open · ~$6 24h · ~$2,101 vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • Protect College Sports Act

    Will legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    34%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$19k vol

    Bid 32¢ · Ask 35¢

    Open full market view →
  • Credit-card routing competition

    Will legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    12%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$1,879 vol

    Bid 8¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions

    Will legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    24%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$944 vol

    Bid 21¢ · Ask 26¢

    Open full market view →
  • JAWBONE Act

    Will legislation principally aimed at curbing federal coercion of speech intermediaries (social media platforms, AI systems, broadcasters), including through a private right of action against agencies or officials, monetary damages, or mandatory disclosure of government-to-platform communications become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$204 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 8¢

    Open full market view →
  • NO FAKES Act

    Will legislation that establishes a federal intellectual-property right protecting individuals’ voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Insulin cost cap

    Will legislation that limits out-of-pocket costs for insulin for privately insured patients to no more than $40 per month, per 30-day supply, or equivalent monthly period become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,105 vol

    Bid 11¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Railway safety bill

    Will legislation that imposes enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$799 vol

    Bid 10¢ · Ask 13¢

    Open full market view →
  • ADS-B revenue-use restriction

    Will legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    11%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$186 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 16¢

    Open full market view →
  • Dignity Act

    Will legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,977 vol

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee

    Will legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$760 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Jewish American security

    Will legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$485 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢

    Open full market view →
  • Surface transportation reauthorization

    Will legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,678 vol

    Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • E15 year-round sales

    Will legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    6%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,463 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • White House ballroom funding

    Will legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,033 vol

    Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act

    Will legislation that amends the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008 by modifying the statutory definition of “food” (eligible for purchase with SNAP benefits) to specifically include “hot rotisserie chicken” become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    16%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,101 vol

    Bid 13¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • $2.50 Coin

    Will legislation that would require Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    8%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,189 vol

    Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 8.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday

    Will legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    2%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$914 vol

    Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 3.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • SELF DRIVE Act

    Will legislation that preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$328 vol

    Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 3.8¢

    Open full market view →
  • ROTOR Act

    Will legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$477 vol

    Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 4.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • AI-chip export licensing

    Will legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    17%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,457 vol

    Bid 15¢ · Ask 18¢

    Open full market view →
  • Trump Airport

    Will legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,625 vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 4.7¢

    Open full market view →
  • DEFIANCE Act

    Will legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    3%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$317 vol

    Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 4.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)

    Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    14%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23k vol

    Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢

    Open full market view →
  • Critical-minerals stockpile

    Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    7%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,371 vol

    Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 8.9¢

    Open full market view →
  • SHOWER Act

    Will legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    4%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,596 vol

    Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Smithsonian Women’s History Museum

    Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    5%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$584 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 6¢

    Open full market view →
  • Film/TV production expensing

    Will legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions become law before Jan 1, 2027?

    12%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,133 vol

    Bid 9.8¢ · Ask 14¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$58
Volume
~$81k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
217k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 1, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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