Selected outcome
Surface transportation reauthorization
8%
Surface transportation reauthorization · 8%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Library of Congress (opens in a new tab)
Price
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Markets
- Export-control chip security
Will legislation that requires location-verification security mechanisms on certain advanced chips before export become law before Jan 1, 2027?
33%
Open · ~$23 24h · ~$5,363 vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 33¢
- Fort Bragg → Fort Liberty
Will legislation that changes the official name of Fort Bragg, North Carolina, to Fort Liberty become law before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$19 24h · ~$624 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 7¢
- Data center utility cost protection
Will legislation that prohibits data center power usage from increasing consumers' electric utility bills become law before Jan 1, 2027?
13%
Open · ~$6 24h · ~$2,101 vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 13¢
- Protect College Sports Act
Will legislation principally aimed at establishing a federal framework for college sports, including through NIL preemption, antitrust treatment of association rules, athlete-compensation standards, student-athlete protections, or employment-status rules become law before Jan 1, 2027?
34%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$19k vol
Bid 32¢ · Ask 35¢
- Credit-card routing competition
Will legislation that requires two unaffiliated networks for processing covered credit-card transactions become law before Jan 1, 2027?
12%
Open · ~$5 24h · ~$1,879 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 15¢
- Defense-contractor stock-buyback restrictions
Will legislation that conditions eligibility for Department of Defense contracts on covered contractors refraining from stock buybacks become law before Jan 1, 2027?
24%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$944 vol
Bid 21¢ · Ask 26¢
- JAWBONE Act
Will legislation principally aimed at curbing federal coercion of speech intermediaries (social media platforms, AI systems, broadcasters), including through a private right of action against agencies or officials, monetary damages, or mandatory disclosure of government-to-platform communications become law before Jan 1, 2027?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$204 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 8¢
- NO FAKES Act
Will legislation that establishes a federal intellectual-property right protecting individuals’ voices and visual likenesses from unauthorized digital replicas become law before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$147 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 10¢
- Insulin cost cap
Will legislation that limits out-of-pocket costs for insulin for privately insured patients to no more than $40 per month, per 30-day supply, or equivalent monthly period become law before Jan 1, 2027?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,105 vol
Bid 11¢ · Ask 18¢
- Railway safety bill
Will legislation that imposes enhanced federal safety requirements on freight rail carriers and trains transporting hazardous materials (e.g., mandates for wayside defect detectors, two-person crews, tank car safety standards, and state emergency notification) become law before Jan 1, 2027?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$799 vol
Bid 10¢ · Ask 13¢
- ADS-B revenue-use restriction
Will legislation that bars government agencies or private entities from using ADS-B aircraft-tracking data to identify aircraft for the purpose of obtaining revenue from the aircraft owner or operator without consent become law before Jan 1, 2027?
11%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$186 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 16¢
- Dignity Act
Will legislation that pairs enhanced border security and mandatory E-Verify with asylum system reforms and an earned legal status program (without a path to citizenship) for certain long-term undocumented immigrants become law before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,977 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Electric vehicle Highway Trust Fund fee
Will legislation that imposes an annual federal registration fee on electric and plug-in hybrid vehicles, with the revenue dedicated to the Highway Trust Fund become law before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$760 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢
- Jewish American security
Will legislation principally aimed at strengthening federal efforts to protect Jewish Americans from antisemitism, including through civil-rights enforcement, physical security support, threat monitoring, or online-platform transparency become law before Jan 1, 2027?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$485 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 7¢
- Surface transportation reauthorization
Will legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations become law before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,678 vol
Bid 6¢ · Ask 9¢
- E15 year-round sales
Will legislation that allows year-round nationwide sale of E15 fuel by extending the Clean Air Act Reid Vapor Pressure waiver to ethanol blends up to 15% become law before Jan 1, 2027?
6%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,463 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 6¢
- White House ballroom funding
Will legislation that authorizes funding for construction of a presidential ballroom become law before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,033 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 9¢
- Hot Rotisserie Chicken Act
Will legislation that amends the Food and Nutrition Act of 2008 by modifying the statutory definition of “food” (eligible for purchase with SNAP benefits) to specifically include “hot rotisserie chicken” become law before Jan 1, 2027?
16%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$4,101 vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 18¢
- $2.50 Coin
Will legislation that would require Treasury to mint and issue $2.50 coins to mark America’s 250th anniversary become law before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,189 vol
Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 8.9¢
- Trump's Birthday as a federal holiday
Will legislation that designates June 14, the birthday of President Donald J. Trump, as a legal public holiday for federal employees become law before Jan 1, 2027?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$914 vol
Bid 0.2¢ · Ask 3.7¢
- SELF DRIVE Act
Will legislation that preempts state and local autonomous vehicle laws by establishing a unified federal regulatory framework for the testing and deployment of vehicles equipped with automated driving systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$328 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 3.8¢
- ROTOR Act
Will legislation that mandates expanded adoption of ADS-B “Out” aircraft tracking technology become law before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$477 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- AI-chip export licensing
Will legislation that subjects covered AI-chip exports to mandatory congressional review with a statutory blocking period become law before Jan 1, 2027?
17%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,457 vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 18¢
- Trump Airport
Will legislation that renames Washington Dulles International Airport after Donald Trump become law before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,625 vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 4.7¢
- DEFIANCE Act
Will legislation that creates a federal civil lawsuit right for victims of intimate deepfakes become law before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$317 vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- FISA Section 702 reauthorization (2 years)
Will legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, for two years become law before Jan 1, 2027?
14%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23k vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 15¢
- Critical-minerals stockpile
Will legislation that establishes a federal critical-minerals reserve to mitigate supply disruptions become law before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,371 vol
Bid 5.7¢ · Ask 8.9¢
- SHOWER Act
Will legislation that redefines “showerhead” for DOE rules to allow multi-nozzle systems become law before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,596 vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 6¢
- Smithsonian Women’s History Museum
Will legislation that authorizes siting the Women’s History Museum within the National Mall Reserve become law before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$584 vol
Bid 3¢ · Ask 6¢
- Film/TV production expensing
Will legislation that extends Section 181 expensing for film and television productions become law before Jan 1, 2027?
12%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,133 vol
Bid 9.8¢ · Ask 14¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 1, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If legislation that provides multi-year reauthorization and funding for federal surface transportation programs through the Highway Trust Fund and general fund appropriations has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.