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When will AI score above 170 on Epoch Capabilities Index?

Open

Any AI model from any lab

Selected outcome

Before Apr 1, 2027

94%

Before Apr 1, 2027 · 94%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Dec 1, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Epoch AI (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$442
Liquidity
—
Open int.
417 contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Dec 1, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before April 1, 2027 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

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