Selected outcome
Before Dec 1, 2026
45%
Before Dec 1, 2026 · 45%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Epoch AI (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Before Apr 1, 2027
Epoch ECI above 170 before Apr 1, 2027?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 89¢ · Ask 98¢
- Before Dec 1, 2026
Epoch ECI above 170 before Dec 1, 2026?
45%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 40¢ · Ask 49¢
- Before Feb 1, 2027
Epoch ECI above 170 before Feb 1, 2027?
82%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$20 vol
Bid 78¢ · Ask 86¢
- Before Jan 1, 2027
Epoch ECI above 170 before Jan 1, 2027?
81%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$422 vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 85¢
- Before Jul 1, 2027
Epoch ECI above 170 before Jul 1, 2027?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 99¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 1, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If any AI model company records above 170 on Epoch AI's Epoch Capabilities Index (General ECI) (https://epoch.ai/eci?view=graph&tab=leaderboard) after market issuance and before December 1, 2026 at 12:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.