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Fed funds rate after Jan 2027 meeting?

Open

On Jan 27, 2027

Selected outcome

Above 3.00%

95%

Above 3.00% · 95%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Jan 27, 2027 ET
Resolution source
Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)

Price

Loading price history.

Markets

  • Above 4.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    28%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol

    wide spread 1–70%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 70¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    35%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    wide spread 1–50%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 50¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–72%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 72¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    13%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol

    wide spread 1–64%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 64¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–61%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 61¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    No quote

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–57%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 57¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    1%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol

    wide spread 1–30%

    Bid 1¢ · Ask 30¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,068 vol

    Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,120 vol

    Bid 92¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    98%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,340 vol

    Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,019 vol

    Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    98%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,388 vol

    Bid 96¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    98%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,448 vol

    Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    98%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,334 vol

    Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    98%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,441 vol

    Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,903 vol

    Bid 94¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    96%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,661 vol

    Bid 94¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    97%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,333 vol

    Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    94%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,060 vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,319 vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13k vol

    Bid 92¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.50%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    94%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,355 vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.75%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,293 vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.00%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    94%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,891 vol

    Bid 91¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.25%

    Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?

    50%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,183 vol

    wide spread 22–75%

    Bid 22¢ · Ask 75¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$0
Volume
~$56k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
20k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Jan 27, 2027 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.00% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.

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