Selected outcome
Above 4.75%
wide spread 1–50%
35%
Above 4.75% · 35%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Jan 27, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Federal Reserve Board of Governors (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 4.50%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
wide spread 1–70%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 70¢
- Above 4.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
35%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 1–50%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 50¢
- Above 5.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–72%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 72¢
- Above 5.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
13%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
wide spread 1–64%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 64¢
- Above 5.50%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–61%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 61¢
- Above 5.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 5.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
No quote
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–57%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 57¢
- Above 6.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 6.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
1%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
wide spread 1–30%
Bid 1¢ · Ask 30¢
- Above 0.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,068 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 0.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,120 vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 0.50%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,340 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 0.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 0.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,019 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 1.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,388 vol
Bid 96¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 1.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,448 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 1.50%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,334 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 1.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 1.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
98%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,441 vol
Bid 97¢ · Ask 98¢
- Above 2.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,903 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 2.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,661 vol
Bid 94¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 2.50%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
97%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,333 vol
Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 2.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 2.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,060 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 3.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,319 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 3.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$13k vol
Bid 92¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 3.50%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.50% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,355 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 3.75%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,293 vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 4.00%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
94%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$5,891 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 97¢
- Above 4.25%
Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.25% following the Fed's Jan 27, 2027 meeting?
50%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,183 vol
wide spread 22–75%
Bid 22¢ · Ask 75¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Jan 27, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 4.75% following the Federal Reserve's Jan 27, 2027 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.