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US real GDP growth in Q3 2026?

Open

In Q3 2026

Selected outcome

Above 0.0%

last

99%

Above 0.0% · 99%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 30, 2026 ET
Resolution source
Bureau of Economic Analysis (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 3.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026?

    62%

    Open · ~$562 24h · ~$18k vol

    Bid 61¢ · Ask 62¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q3 2026?

    89%

    Open · ~$290 24h · ~$70k vol

    Bid 88¢ · Ask 89¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 2.5%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026?

    77%

    Open · ~$282 24h · ~$24k vol

    Bid 76¢ · Ask 77¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3.5%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026?

    32%

    Open · ~$224 24h · ~$5,101 vol

    Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?

    10%

    Open · ~$177 24h · ~$8,257 vol

    Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,686 vol

    last

    Bid 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 0.5%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,368 vol

    last

    Bid 98¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.0%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?

    99%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9,348 vol

    Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 1.5%

    Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q3 2026?

    95%

    Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14k vol

    Bid 93¢ · Ask 96¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$1,536
Volume
~$158k
Liquidity
—
Open int.
137k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 30, 2026 ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 0.0, then the market resolves to Yes.

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