Selected outcome
Above 4.0%
10%
Above 4.0% · 10%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Bureau of Economic Analysis (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Above 3.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2026?
62%
Open · ~$562 24h · ~$18k vol
Bid 61¢ · Ask 62¢
- Above 2.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.0% in Q3 2026?
89%
Open · ~$290 24h · ~$70k vol
Bid 88¢ · Ask 89¢
- Above 2.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 2.5% in Q3 2026?
77%
Open · ~$282 24h · ~$24k vol
Bid 76¢ · Ask 77¢
- Above 3.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.5% in Q3 2026?
32%
Open · ~$224 24h · ~$5,101 vol
Bid 30¢ · Ask 33¢
- Above 4.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?
10%
Open · ~$177 24h · ~$8,257 vol
Bid 9¢ · Ask 10¢
- Above 0.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.0% in Q3 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6,686 vol
last
Bid 99¢
- Above 0.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 0.5% in Q3 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,368 vol
last
Bid 98¢
- Above 1.0%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.0% in Q3 2026?
99%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$9,348 vol
Bid 98¢ · Ask 99¢
- Above 1.5%
Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q3 2026?
95%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14k vol
Bid 93¢ · Ask 96¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Oct 30, 2026 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.