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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Open

10/19 - 10/25

Selected outcome

Above 10

3%

Above 10 · 3%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
Resolution source
IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 8

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    5%

    Open · ~$763 24h · ~$916 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    74%

    Open · ~$729 24h · ~$1,490 vol

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    43%

    Open · ~$673 24h · ~$906 vol

    Bid 42¢ · Ask 43¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    97%

    Open · ~$577 24h · ~$2,505 vol

    Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    86%

    Open · ~$319 24h · ~$367 vol

    Bid 85¢ · Ask 86¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    4%

    Open · ~$155 24h · ~$312 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 10

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    3%

    Open · ~$26 24h · ~$137 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    19%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$10 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$3,247
Volume
~$6,645
Liquidity
—
Open int.
25k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 10 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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