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Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Open

10/19 - 10/25

Selected outcome

Above 9

4%

Above 9 · 4%

Stored quote · checking the venue

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
Resolution source
IMF PortWatch (opens in a new tab)

Price

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Markets

  • Above 8

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 8 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    5%

    Open · ~$763 24h · ~$916 vol

    Bid 4¢ · Ask 5¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 5

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 5 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    74%

    Open · ~$729 24h · ~$1,490 vol

    Bid 73¢ · Ask 74¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 6

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 6 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    43%

    Open · ~$673 24h · ~$906 vol

    Bid 42¢ · Ask 43¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 3

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    97%

    Open · ~$577 24h · ~$2,505 vol

    Bid 96¢ · Ask 97¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 4

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 4 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    86%

    Open · ~$319 24h · ~$367 vol

    Bid 85¢ · Ask 86¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 9

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    4%

    Open · ~$155 24h · ~$312 vol

    Bid 3¢ · Ask 4¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 10

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 10 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    3%

    Open · ~$26 24h · ~$137 vol

    Bid 2¢ · Ask 3¢

    Open full market view →
  • Above 7

    Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 7 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026?

    19%

    Open · ~$5 24h · ~$10 vol

    Bid 18¢ · Ask 19¢

    Open full market view →
Event statistics
24h vol
~$3,247
Volume
~$6,645
Liquidity
—
Open int.
25k contracts

How this resolves

Scheduled end
Oct 27, 9:00 AM ET
  1. Trading
  2. Closed
  3. In review
  4. Resolved
Rules text

If the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 9 from Oct 19, 2026 to Oct 25, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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