2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Markets

• Democrats, 12 to 14%

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 12 and 14%?

  10%

  Open · ~$2,909 24h · ~$20k vol

  Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 10¢

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• Democrats, 6 to 8%

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 6 and 8%?

  17%

  Open · ~$2,065 24h · ~$30k vol

  Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢

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• Democrats, 10 to 12%

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 10 and 12%?

  23%

  Open · ~$1,071 24h · ~$51k vol

  Bid 22¢ · Ask 24¢

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• Democrats, 8 to 10%

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%?

  27%

  Open · ~$926 24h · ~$48k vol

  Bid 26¢ · Ask 27¢

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• Democrats, 14 to 16%

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 14 and 16%?

  4%

  Open · ~$735 24h · ~$6,152 vol

  Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 3.6¢

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• Democrats, 16% and above

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 16 and 100%?

  4%

  Open · ~$523 24h · ~$8,312 vol

  Bid 4¢ · Ask 4.3¢

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• Democrats, 4 to 6%

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 4 and 6%?

  7%

  Open · ~$403 24h · ~$12k vol

  Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 6.7¢

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• Republicans win

  Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote?

  6%

  Open · ~$357 24h · ~$56k vol

  Bid 5.3¢ · Ask 5.7¢

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• Democrats, 0 to 2%

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?

  2%

  Open · ~$16 24h · ~$7,384 vol

  Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 2¢

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• Democrats, 2 to 4%

  Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 2 and 4%?

  3%

  Open · ~$13 24h · ~$9,487 vol

  Bid 2.6¢ · Ask 3.5¢

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