Selected outcome
Democrats, 16% and above
4%
Democrats, 16% and above · 4%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the Clerk of the House (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Democrats, 12 to 14%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 12 and 14%?
10%
Open · ~$2,909 24h · ~$20k vol
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 10¢
- Democrats, 6 to 8%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 6 and 8%?
17%
Open · ~$2,065 24h · ~$30k vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢
- Democrats, 10 to 12%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 10 and 12%?
23%
Open · ~$1,071 24h · ~$51k vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 24¢
- Democrats, 8 to 10%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%?
27%
Open · ~$926 24h · ~$48k vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 27¢
- Democrats, 14 to 16%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 14 and 16%?
4%
Open · ~$735 24h · ~$6,152 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 3.6¢
- Democrats, 16% and above
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 16 and 100%?
4%
Open · ~$523 24h · ~$8,312 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 4.3¢
- Democrats, 4 to 6%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 4 and 6%?
7%
Open · ~$403 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 6.7¢
- Republicans win
Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote?
6%
Open · ~$357 24h · ~$56k vol
Bid 5.3¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- Democrats, 0 to 2%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?
2%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$7,384 vol
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 2¢
- Democrats, 2 to 4%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 2 and 4%?
3%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$9,487 vol
Bid 2.6¢ · Ask 3.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 16 and 100 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.