Selected outcome
Democrats, 2 to 4%
3%
Democrats, 2 to 4% · 3%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- the Clerk of the House (opens in a new tab)
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Democrats, 12 to 14%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 12 and 14%?
10%
Open · ~$2,909 24h · ~$20k vol
Bid 9.9¢ · Ask 10¢
- Democrats, 6 to 8%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 6 and 8%?
17%
Open · ~$2,065 24h · ~$30k vol
Bid 16¢ · Ask 17¢
- Democrats, 10 to 12%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 10 and 12%?
23%
Open · ~$1,071 24h · ~$51k vol
Bid 22¢ · Ask 24¢
- Democrats, 8 to 10%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 8 and 10%?
27%
Open · ~$926 24h · ~$48k vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 27¢
- Democrats, 14 to 16%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 14 and 16%?
4%
Open · ~$735 24h · ~$6,152 vol
Bid 3.5¢ · Ask 3.6¢
- Democrats, 16% and above
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 16 and 100%?
4%
Open · ~$523 24h · ~$8,312 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 4.3¢
- Democrats, 4 to 6%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 4 and 6%?
7%
Open · ~$403 24h · ~$12k vol
Bid 6.5¢ · Ask 6.7¢
- Republicans win
Will Republicans win the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote?
6%
Open · ~$357 24h · ~$56k vol
Bid 5.3¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- Democrats, 0 to 2%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 0 and 2%?
2%
Open · ~$16 24h · ~$7,384 vol
Bid 1.9¢ · Ask 2¢
- Democrats, 2 to 4%
Will the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote be between 2 and 4%?
3%
Open · ~$13 24h · ~$9,487 vol
Bid 2.6¢ · Ask 3.5¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
One winner.
- Scheduled end
- Nov 3, 2027 ET
- Resolution source
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 2 and 4 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.