Selected outcome
Democrats, ≥11%
28%
Democrats, ≥11% · 28%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Democrats, ≥10%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 10 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$859 24h · ~$6,651 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 39¢
- Democrats, ≥8%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 8 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$131 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 66¢
- Democrats, ≥14%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 14 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Democrats, ≥6%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 6 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$8,025 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 87¢
- Democrats, ≥11%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 11 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 29¢
- Democrats, ≥12%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 12 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$419 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
- Democrats, ≥16%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 16 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Democrats, ≥2%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,569 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 97¢
- Democrats, ≥4%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 4 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,886 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 95¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 11 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.