Selected outcome
Democrats, ≥6%
86%
Democrats, ≥6% · 86%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Feb 3, 2027 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Democrats, ≥10%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 10 percentage points?
39%
Open · ~$859 24h · ~$6,651 vol
Bid 38¢ · Ask 39¢
- Democrats, ≥8%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 8 percentage points?
66%
Open · ~$131 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 65¢ · Ask 66¢
- Democrats, ≥14%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 14 percentage points?
5%
Open · ~$10 24h · ~$27 vol
Bid 2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Democrats, ≥6%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 6 percentage points?
86%
Open · ~$9 24h · ~$8,025 vol
Bid 85¢ · Ask 87¢
- Democrats, ≥11%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 11 percentage points?
28%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1 vol
Bid 26¢ · Ask 29¢
- Democrats, ≥12%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 12 percentage points?
15%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$419 vol
Bid 14¢ · Ask 16¢
- Democrats, ≥16%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 16 percentage points?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$23 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 5¢
- Democrats, ≥2%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 2 percentage points?
96%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,569 vol
Bid 95¢ · Ask 97¢
- Democrats, ≥4%
Will Democrats win the 2026 national House popular vote by at least 4 percentage points?
93%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,886 vol
Bid 91¢ · Ask 95¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Feb 3, 2027 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If the Democratic minus Republican margin in the national House popular vote is at least 6 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 U.S. House general election, then the market resolves to Yes.