Selected outcome
Ahmad al-Sharaa
5%
Ahmad al-Sharaa · 5%
Stored quote · checking the venue
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
Price
Loading price history.
Markets
- Mohammed bin Salman
Will Mohammed bin Salman leave Crown Prince of Saudi Arabia before Jan 1, 2027?
14%
Open · ~$287 24h · ~$19k vol
Bid 13¢ · Ask 14¢
- Pedro Sánchez
Will Pedro Sánchez leave Prime Minister of Spain before Jan 1, 2027?
16%
Open · ~$225 24h · ~$11k vol
Bid 15¢ · Ask 17¢
- Benjamin Netanyahu
Will Benjamin Netanyahu leave Prime Minister of Israel before Jan 1, 2027?
38%
Open · ~$219 24h · ~$212k vol
Bid 37¢ · Ask 38¢
- Volodymyr Zelenskyy
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy leave President of Ukraine before Jan 1, 2027?
9%
Open · ~$148 24h · ~$10k vol
Bid 7.7¢ · Ask 9.9¢
- Kim Jong Un
Will Kim Jong Un leave Supreme Leader of North Korea before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$122 24h · ~$2,477 vol
Bid 5¢ · Ask 5.8¢
- Emmanuel Macron
Will Emmanuel Macron leave President of France before Jan 1, 2027?
8%
Open · ~$81 24h · ~$9,118 vol
Bid 7.2¢ · Ask 9¢
- Friedrich Merz
Will Friedrich Merz leave Chancellor of Germany before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$67 24h · ~$6,520 vol
Bid 6.4¢ · Ask 6.9¢
- Vladimir Putin
Will Vladimir Putin leave President of Russia before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$3 24h · ~$36k vol
Bid 4.1¢ · Ask 4.6¢
- Miguel Díaz-Canel
Will Miguel Díaz-Canel leave First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba before Jan 1, 2027?
13%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$90k vol
Bid 12¢ · Ask 14¢
- Mette Frederiksen
Will Mette Frederiksen leave Prime Minister of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027?
6%
Open · ~$1 24h · ~$816 vol
Bid 5.2¢ · Ask 6.1¢
- Giorgia Meloni
Will Giorgia Meloni leave Prime Minister of Italy before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$335 vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 4¢
- Javier Milei
Will Javier Milei leave President of Argentina before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$112 vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 4.3¢
- Edi Rama
Will Edi Rama leave Prime Minister of Albania before Jan 1, 2027?
10%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$0 vol
Bid 8¢ · Ask 11¢
- Sébastien Lecornu
Will Sébastien Lecornu leave Prime Minister of France before Jan 1, 2027?
21%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$405 vol
Bid 19¢ · Ask 22¢
- Ramzan Kadyrov
Will Ramzan Kadyrov leave Head of the Chechen Republic before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$422 vol
Bid 4¢ · Ask 6¢
- Delcy Rodriguez
Will Delcy Rodriguez leave Acting President of Venezuela before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$2,333 vol
Bid 6.1¢ · Ask 8.6¢
- Frederik X
Will Frederik X leave King of Denmark before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$46 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.2¢
- Irfaan Ali
Will Irfaan Ali leave President of Guyana before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$6 vol
Bid 1¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- Jens-Frederik Nielsen
Will Jens-Frederik Nielsen leave Prime Minister of Greenland before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$474 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 5¢
- Félix Tshisekedi
Will Félix Tshisekedi leave President of the Democratic Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$76 vol
Bid 1.6¢ · Ask 5.7¢
- Denis Sassou Nguesso
Will Denis Sassou Nguesso leave President of the Republic of the Congo before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$83 vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 5.4¢
- Ahmad al-Sharaa
Will Ahmad al-Sharaa leave President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$888 vol
Bid 3.3¢ · Ask 6.6¢
- Cyril Ramaphosa
Will Cyril Ramaphosa leave President of South Africa before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$949 vol
Bid 1.2¢ · Ask 6.5¢
- Claudia Sheinbaum
Will Claudia Sheinbaum leave President of Mexico before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,754 vol
Bid 2.5¢ · Ask 3.6¢
- Daniel Noboa
Will Daniel Noboa leave President of Ecuador before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$14 vol
Bid 1.3¢ · Ask 6.2¢
- Lee Jae Myung
Will Lee Jae Myung leave President of South Korea before Jan 1, 2027?
5%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$505 vol
Bid 3.2¢ · Ask 7¢
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva leave President of Brazil before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$3,198 vol
Bid 2.1¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- Mark Carney
Will Mark Carney leave Prime Minister of Canada before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$648 vol
Bid 1.1¢ · Ask 4.1¢
- Nayib Bukele
Will Nayib Bukele leave President of El Salvador before Jan 1, 2027?
2%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$176 vol
Bid 1.4¢ · Ask 2.8¢
- Narendra Modi
Will Narendra Modi leave Prime Minister of India before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$378 vol
Bid 3.1¢ · Ask 4.7¢
- Christopher Luxon
Will Christopher Luxon leave Prime Minister of New Zealand before Jan 1, 2027?
48%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$7,822 vol
Bid 46¢ · Ask 50¢
- Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan leave President of Türkiye before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$837 vol
Bid 2.3¢ · Ask 4.9¢
- Rodrigo Paz Pereira
Will Rodrigo Paz Pereira leave President of Bolivia before Jan 1, 2027?
7%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$331 vol
Bid 4.3¢ · Ask 9.6¢
- Sanae Takaichi
Will Sanae Takaichi leave Prime Minister of Japan before Jan 1, 2027?
4%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$1,539 vol
Bid 3.4¢ · Ask 4.5¢
- Xi Jinping
Will Xi Jinping leave General Secretary of the Communist Party of China before Jan 1, 2027?
3%
Open · ~$0 24h · ~$15k vol
Bid 2.2¢ · Ask 2.8¢
Event statistics
How this resolves
- Scheduled end
- Dec 31, 2026 ET
- Trading
- Closed
- In review
- Resolved
Rules text
If Ahmad al-Sharaa has either officially announced their intention to leave as President of Syria or has actually left President of Syria before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.